If you take a look at CDL, you will know that it is of utmost importance as a trader / investor to lock in profit at the correct timing. This applies to traders of all time frames and even for long term investors. Those people who had bought into CDL in Nov 12 will have very good returns by end Dec 12. If they did not exit by the first week of Jan 13 and is still holding till now, then they are definately making a paperloss. This will further affect their trading psychology and if the counter continue to drop, say a few dollars, the persons holding the shares will sell it off in panic to confirm the loss. This kind of win-did not exit-lose then exit cycles happen everyday in the markets. Sad but true, we need these people to provide for liquidity and of course, provide profit for those 10% of the traders out there.
Dow Jones has met with bulls and bears fighting with indecision for the past one week. Resistance level of 14,450 – 14,500 still holds and it has demostrated how nicely the candles stick to the levels verifying the resistance zone which was first predicted on 8 Mar 13 in my earlier postings. The CCI is coming down and MACD has crossed finally (lagging). In view of the tough fight between the bulls and bears, we need to wait for candles that shows distinctly whether it breaks out of resistance zone or retrace below it.
Hang Seng was performing badly. As forcasted last week, it has broken down its previous support and is currently at its next support of 22,185. These two supports were pinpointed accurately. I foresee further downside for HSI in the coming week.
STI is still consolidating sideways and has been so for the past few weeks. It is bounded by resistance of 3,320 and support of 3,230. Bearish divergance still maintained and its direction will only be known when it either breaks the resistance of 3,320 or support of 3,230.
Dow Jones has meet the resistance of 14,450 – 14,500. You may see that in the resitance zone, there are 2 doji and 1 red candle formed. At last, you are looking at some indecision of the bulls and bears after 7 straight days of making new high. Though the CCI is coming down, the MACD has yet to cross. That’s why you can’t rely on indicators alone to make a decision. Based on market forces, the DJI has met with a resistance. To confirm a reversal, you will need to wait to see the development of candles to ensure that there is a turnaround. But I can say that the Index is indeed weaken. To what extend? Well that depends on when the maket maker / big boys showhand and take profit. The day is near.
Hang Seng was badly depresssed and need a rebound desperately. It made a good attempted on 8 Mar 13 but was halted by some factors. Hence, the new resitance is its previous high of 23,270. It is currently at its support of 22,521. Though showing bullish divergence, I would say the HSI is still pretty weak and make go down further to support of 22,185.
STI is still moving sideway. Bounded by resistance of 3,320 and support of 3,230. Bearish divergance has developed and it would be good for the index to correct,probably together with the DJI. After all, the Index has been raising since mid Nov 2012. The diretion of STI can only be known when it either break the resistance of 3,320 or support of 3,230 in the immediately term.
This counter looks pretty interesting. Has climbed up pretty fast from 9 cents in last Dec 12 till about 47 cents today. Five times ! This is a penny stock to begin with and technical analysis usually do not go well with penny stock which has low volatility and volume initially. I guess, to catch such a counter, you will need to apply fundamental analysis such as intrinsic value, competitive advantage, all the financial ratios etc. Still, Penny stocks are subject to manipulation. Hence, it is not so simple.
DJI is approaching resistance zone of 14,450 to 14,500 . The rise has been smaller each day.
Dow Jones closed at 14,447 (high of 14,448) on 11 Mar 13. It is reaching its resistance zone of 14,450 +/- 50 pts soon. I would expect DJI to have some reaction in this zone. The reaction can be either no movement, slow down, reverse or even false break out with some long spike candles or doji.
The VIX is showing that the index is overly overly bought. Let’s watch how the index develops for the rest of the week.
STI – As at now (12 MAr 13, 10.30am), STI is at 3,315 (high 3,316). It is also reaching resistance 3,320-3,340 pretty soon. It would be beautiful if both DJI and STI are reacting to the resistance zone at the same time.
Hang Seng – It is making a slow recovery. The HSI will not look good and will be badly affected if DJ is to correct/retrace soon. Its recovery will be stopped and probablly the HSI will be hit right back to its support zone or the previous low before the slight recovery.